Game Overview
Matchup: Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Game Time: 11:15 PM UTC
Weather: Cloudy, mid-60s °F, with heavy showers possible and 16 mph winds.
The Yankees return home riding a five-game winning streak, while the Red Sox limp into the Bronx after three straight losses. Rain looms large over this matchup, potentially dampening New York’s slugging advantage and leveling the playing field.
Recent Form
Boston Red Sox (68-59, .535)
The Red Sox have lost three straight and 3 of their last 5, averaging only 3 runs per game during the skid. With offensive leaders sidelined, Boston’s bats have cooled. They’ll need Lucas Giolito to keep them competitive on the road.
Last 5 games:
- L 3-4 vs Orioles (Aug 19)
- L 3-6 vs Orioles (Aug 18)
- L 3-5 vs Marlins (Aug 17)
- W 7-5 vs Marlins (Aug 16)
- W 2-1 vs Marlins (Aug 15)
New York Yankees (69-57, .548)
New York is red-hot, winning five in a row and averaging over 8 runs per game during that stretch. Their road trip was capped by a 13–3 demolition of Tampa Bay, and now they return to a packed Yankee Stadium with momentum.
Last 5 games:
- W 6-4 @ Rays (Aug 20)
- W 13-3 @ Rays (Aug 19)
- W 8-4 @ Cardinals (Aug 17)
- W 12-8 @ Cardinals (Aug 16)
- W 4-3 @ Cardinals (Aug 16)
Key Factors
- Pitching Matchup: Giolito (3.63 ERA) vs Luis Gil (5.14 ERA). Edge: Boston.
- Yankees Power Surge: 9 HR in one game recently, and averaging 8+ runs in last 5.
- Head-to-Head Edge: Boston has won the last 5 meetings this season.
- Injuries: Yankees get Rosario back; Red Sox missing Refsnyder (oblique) and Mayer (season-ending wrist injury).
- Weather Risk: Rain and winds could suppress power, increasing uncertainty.
Betro AI Predictions
- Spread: Yankees -1.5 (Confidence: 60%) – New York’s form suggests another multi-run win, but weather risk lowers certainty.
- Moneyline: Yankees ML (Confidence: 70%) – Momentum, home field, and depth make them the safer outright bet.
- Total: Over 8.5 (Confidence: 75%) – Even with rain risk, both teams can put up runs. New York’s power and Boston’s resilience in rivalry games favor a high-scoring outcome.
Bottom Line
While the Yankees come in scorching hot, the Red Sox have quietly owned this rivalry with five straight wins this season. Rain and wind may neutralize New York’s power, giving Boston a chance to keep it close.
Betro AI Best Bet: Red Sox +1.5 (Confidence: 65%)